The following is a summary of
Zero to One: Notes on Startups or How to Build the Future. I do not claim to own any of the book's original work, the following is simply a bulleted summarization with a few direct quotes. All copyrights and trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Chapter 5 - The Last Mover Advantage:
- Businesses can only be great if they endure the test of time
- Great business is defined by its ability to generate cash flow in the future
- “The value of a business today is the sum of all the money it will make in the future
- Old economy businesses (Restaurants, newspaper) make money today, but profits usually dwindle in the coming years
- Technology companies (startups) usually follow the opposite
- Lose money for the first years
- It takes time to build value
- Most value comes 10 to 15 years in the future
- Because technology companies are usually most valuable in years to come, companies must be durable
- Side Note:
- Thiel touches on Zynga and its short term appeal
- He says that companies cannot reliably produce entertainment products because audiences are fickle
- Takeaway is that entertainment companies are not good (can’t last)
- Characteristics of a Monopoly:
- Proprietary Technology:
- Most substantive advantage a business can have
- MUST be 10x better than its closest substitute
- Anything less than this is a marginal improvement
- Easiest way to improve something 10x better is by inventing something new
- Network Effects:
- Network effects make a product more useful as more people use it
- To reap network effects, the product must be valuable to its very fits users
- Network effects must start with small markets
- “This is why successful network businesses rarely get started by MBA types: the initial markets are so small
- Economies of Scale:
- Businesses get stronger as they get bigger
- Can produce more for less cost
- Software companies get great economies of scale because software costs little to nothing to reproduce
- Service business do not benefit much from economies of scale
- Can hire more people and spread as much as you want, but profit margin stay relatively the same
- A few service people cannot service millions of people and thus cannot achieve massive amounts of users/profit
- Good startups have potential for great scale in the design of their companies
- There should be no reason your company should stop growing
- Branding:
- Companies have brand monopoly by definition
- So vice versa is true
- Creating a brand monopoly will get you the business monopoly
- “Beginning with brand rather than substance is dangerous”
- No technology can be built on branding alone
- Building a Monopoly:
- All of the four characteristics just mentioned defined a monopoly
- To get those things, “choose your market carefully and expand deliberately”
- Start small and monopolize
- Every startup should start with a very small market
- So that small market can easily be dominated
- Its easier to dominate a small market than a large one
- Perfect target market for a startup is a small group of concentrated that are not served by competitors
- Scaling up
- “Once you create and dominate a niche market, then you should gradually expand into related and slightly broader markets”
- Don’t Disrupt
- Originally disrupt meant firms introducing low price alternatives, and eventually expanding them to take over the high priced premiums
- Now its a buzzword for new and trendy things
- If you are truly disrupting, then it is not completely new because firms have already made it
- Do not disrupt because it means competition and negative impacts for competitors
- Instead avoid competition as much as possible
- Create a mutually beneficial situation for you and possible competitors
- The last will be the First
- “If you’re first into a market, you can capture a significant market share”
- What really matter is generating cash flow in the future
- Being first doesn’t help if someone overtakes you
- Better to be the last mover in a market
- Creating the last move that is so good that it will hold the market for decades, etc.
If you've liked this summary, I highly recommend you get the full book here:
Zero to One: Notes on Startups, or How to Build the Future
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- Alec Kriebel